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No basis for hawkish turn as ECB holds firm

A meeting of the European Central Bank heralded few surprises on Thursday, but added fuel to speculation QE will continue past 2017,albeit in a tempered fashion.

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Louise Hill

The inflation expectation for 2017 was up from 1.3% to 1.7%, and expected to be 1.6% in 2018 after rising to 2% in February, Draghi said, while growth is expected to be 1.8% this year and 1.7% the year after.

After Draghi side-stepped questions about the possobility of a rate hike before the end of quantitative easing, Aberdeen Asset Management investment manager Patrick O’Donnell, said markets could begin to move “on the assumption the ECB will remove accommodation towards the end of the year”.

He said: “It’s a classic Draghi technique of saying something that will move markets without actually doing anything.

“Due to this, and a wordy response to a question about raising rates before QE ends, markets will now start to recalibrate on the assumption that the ECB will remove accommodation towards the end of the year.”

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